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Posted by geekstation on July 22, 2024 at 1:20pm 0 Comments 0 Likes
In 2016 I had never heard of the Democracy Institute (DI) or their polling. On the morning of Election Day 2016, this obscure polling firm issued a shocking poll: Trump will win the US Elections. To be fair, they only got it half right. DI suggested that Trump was going to not only win the election (he did) but also win the popular vote (he did not). DI also accurately predicted the outcome of the Brexit vote in the UK just a few months before the 2016 US Elections. Considering that most other firms who still "got it right" were outside of their margins of error, DI proved to be accurate, though that is in no way an endorsement of their polls or methodology. The simple fact is, they have a record of accuracy.
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